jordan

JFBB has had free (customer appreciation) days for the last 2 seasons, although it seems peak has eliminated it this year. you still had to get a ticket, but they just had people standing by the ticket windows handing them out. Jordan

a few years ago the east mountain chair at jf broke down for an hour. JF was open till 5 instead of 4 that day to compensate those people

the gondola at keystone broke down for about 1/2 hour when i was on it a couple of weeks ago

holy fuck, if i was in the poconos right now, i would be leaving for elk at like 5 AM in hopes of getting there in time for opening. (i live like an hour away in normal conditions) Nice thing about the east coast is that they won't close the interstate like they will out here. Jordan

heck CB will probably close tomorrow

from my experience (at least at JFBB) when the schools cancel, there is barely anyone at the slopes either. Remember most people in PA are afraid to drive in an inch of snow let alone a foot. They go to the stores and buy all the water before a freaken 6 inch snowfall. Right now, i imagine all wal-marts in NEPA are out of water, bread and milk. Go check for yourself lol Jordan

theres about an inch on the ground with snow falling here in boulder

i never called it secret info, just things that you happen to be uneducated on. were good, i was simply trying to correct your misconception. I never was trying to be mean. Jordan

by the way, that meant 6-8 for philly, 10-15 ish north of philly to allentown 15-20 for the southern poconos and 20-30 for NEPA (those may be a little off based on my limited knowledge of PA geography) it obviously isnt going to verify that much, but that is what the 0z gfs last night prediced

you were taking the forecasted highs and said "look, i dont care what that storm does, you cant have 20 degrees and have rain" you neglected the fact that if the storm shifted the way the models were indicating as that time, the actual highs would be much higher than the forecast. You obviously don't understand how eastern coastal storms work. Every storm has a warm and cold side. If the storm tracks inland, guess what, you are on the warm side and get rain. Jordan

heres what the snowfall totals are if you take the latest GFS run verbatim

models are trending colder, and the storm is becoming more and more intense with every model run. the NAM and GFS both are saying over 2" of water content for NEPA right now. If these trends continue, the forecasts will go back over to all snow, and the snow accumulations may be incredible. Im thinking 12-22 scranton on north, 10-18 south of scranton to the poconos and 8-12 on south to allentown with lesser amounts to the south , as there will be probable mixing. In the event of a mix, it will probably decrease the snow totals, but if these model trends continue, this will be an incredible storm this is absolutely insane by the way, that image is the GFS, which as of now is calling for all snow in NEPA

i believe pretty much everyone has heeded the overwhelming model guidence this morning and changed their forecasts to a mixed bag for most places

The 0z gfs did go a little east and looks like mostly snow, with a slight changeover for extreme eastern PA, however, the NAM at this point is ALL rain east of about interstate 81. The canadian GGEM is somewhere in between. I guess we will wait and see. Either way, it will be very close, and snow to water ratios probably won't be very high. Jordan

this storm is looking warmer and warmer with every run, sorry guys you will get some snow out of it, but its looking less and less like "the big one"

if you don't understand how a noreaster works, dont comment. In order to get all snow the storm track has to be in a very specific area. Too far inland, you get rain, too far out to sea, you get nothing. THE STORM TRACK has EVERYTHING to do with how cold it will be, some of the models are suggesting that it will track inland, which will allow warm air in on the east side of it. If the models suggesting that scenereo verify, there WILL be a changeover in NEPA.

do you understand how coastal storms work? I dont care if you usually get less snow than the poconos, if that storm comes too far inland, which some models are suggesting, you will get snow and the poconos will get rain.

those are forecasts made on old model data. right now the NAM shows a changeover to rain even in the poconos during the middle of the event, it has snow-->rain--->snow. The latest GFS is also slightly warmer but still has all snow for NEPA, bottom line, champagne powder is unlikely unfortunately areas west of the poconos may get more snow than the pocs because a changeover is possible in the pocs... As of right now, all of eastern PA only has a special weather statement and farther west there are winter storm watches http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ Tussey may be the place to be on wednesday

the NAM coming out right now looks unsettlingly warm mixing issues are looking more and more like a possibility

it all depends on the storm track, if the storm track is farther out to sea, it will be all snow, if it is closer to the coast, then yes it will change over to rain

The GFS is now calling for 1.5-2 inch water content with this storm in the poconos. That transfers to 15"-20" of snow at 10 to 1 ratios

heh, looks like even WNEP jumped on board with this storm this morning

oh , i thought we were talking about BB which is 2275 at the summit. Probably the highest ski area in the poconos never skied east mountain ehh?

its also because they are higher than everyone else