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tarponhead

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Everything posted by tarponhead

  1. Let’s hope they leave a few ungroomed. Working on setting up base camp Cherryville
  2. 000 FXUS61 KPHI 161901 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 201 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 .SYNOPSIS... A ridge of high pressure will weaken across the area today. A low pressure system and front will approach from the Great Lakes region tonight. Another low will develop off the coast and affect the weather tonight and early Wednesday. More high pressure will build towards the area late this week and remain for the weekend. Low pressure and a cold front will move towards the Middle Atlantic region for the start of next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING/... -- Changed Discussion -- A complete update to the forecast was published late this morning. A new storm total snow graphic and experimental probabilistic graphics were sent to the web as well. These updates required headline changes. The key changes in the forecast are listed below: (1) Upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning for Carbon and Monroe Counties in PA and Sussex County in NJ with 5-7" of snowfall (including the 1" or less that has fallen so far) expected for this event. Hi-res models are keying in on strong mesoscale banding on the northwestern side of the developing coastal low late this evening and overnight over the southern Poconos and continuing into the Wednesday morning commute for northwestern NJ. (2) Tweaked the start/end times for the Winter Weather Advisories with an emphasis on delaying the onset of accumulating snow to the S/E of the Lehigh Valley, southern Poconos and far NW NJ (where light snow is ongoing). See the experimental onset timing graphic on our winter webpage for specifics. (3) Introduced more mixing E of the Fall Line, especially early on in the event. Temps this afternoon in the 40s along/E of I-95 and mid to upper 30s just to the west. Just about all of the guidance shows this residual warm boundary layer present at the onset of precipitation tonight, resulting in mainly rain along and E of I-95 at the onset and a rain-snow mix just to the N/W. CAA and dynamical cooling will allow for a changeover to snow from NW to SE toward early morning but expect riming and melting at the surface to result in lower snow ratios and thus snowfall amounts near and especially south of I-78 as well as east of I-287. (4) Emphasized window for heavy snow with snowfall rates of 1-2" per hour late tonight across NE PA and N NJ. The heavy snow potential extends into the first half of Wednesday morning along and east of the DE Valley. This means significant impacts for the morning commute. Even though snowfall amounts are generally lower than warning criteria for Warren and Morris Counties in NJ (3-6"), we will have to consider upgrading to a warning based on impact on the morning rush. -- End Changed Discussion --
  3. As soon as I read this a little piece of me died and I went right back to the chamwow thread. I’m better now...
  4. Sooooooo jelly! Rolling with a guide sounds awesome, be safe
  5. And my replacement iPhone is “rose gold”, not pink! Sheesh!
  6. Bus crowd NEVER hits the bumps or grinds the spine. Therefore, I’m good
  7. RTMs in a 170 silly. So jelly
  8. Extreme Protestants (ie puritans) loved a good witch burning. Catholic’s did not have to roll that way because the inquisition dudes could get their way without saying “witch”. I’m guessing 15 century and early 16th century Catholicism was way more prevalent so naturally more early scientists would be catholic. All interesting points you’re making though
  9. Firm bumps. Guns were turned on by 3pM blowing snow-snot so retreated to parking lot. Should be better tomorrow and damn near stellar Monday
  10. Wow, counter intuitive. Especially when you think how early Protestantism was relatively decentralized compared to Catholicism. Neat to know. But by the 17th century that was not the case, no? I mean the Royal Society was a kick ass institution ( when they were not doing vivisections on poor strays) and I’m guessing the orange Dutch wanted science to show them the $$$$
  11. Oh just go! Conditions will be great but if you’re taking your kids who cares? They will have a blast and will talk about their first western trip for years.
  12. Watching this video makes today so much more bearable
  13. Have you guys ever hit that in your trips? Serious terrain!!!! (Skiers right) If I ever worked up the nerve it would be one long scream (until I bounced off a rock [emoji13])
  14. Amen. I remember when Tricia got all hot and bothered by a shirtless pic of Vladimir Putin on a horse [emoji23][emoji23][emoji23] So yeah SallyCat, there’s that
  15. I have the same phone/lift phobia. I was just trying to figure out what was what in the photo. Glad you had a fun day
  16. Yeah but it’s such a weird angle pic
  17. On trail coming soon, the last section coming into paradise has a little giddy yup. Especially so that I’m worried they may try to grade it out. I hope not. Maybe try to manage the intersection into paradise with fences like they do at Killy? Trees to skiers right on that section look sweet as well
  18. So there are 5 more uncut trails. Would require another lift
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