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Posts
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Everything posted by Schif
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@GrilledSteezeSandwich you got me on that one. I thought I had read somewhere that Mason and Dixon laid out the 12 mile circle but it turns out they did not as far as I can tell. They are clearly involved in the PA/MD border and the Transpeninsular line though.
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Good map! I especially like the 12 mile Arc in the bottom right. Quite the unique feature when drawing state lines. Thanks Mason and Dixon!
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Going easy on NYE and day drinking at the parade is fun though
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It'll come down to whether or not they can operate profitably with diminished lodge services. If they can't cram people into the lodges to eat on MLK weekend will it still be worth blowing all that snow? Hard to say. Someone is surely crunching numbers in the background.
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The beauty of this is that we likely won't find out the actual answer to where it came from. If we ever do it will be decades down the road. China doesn't play around with information.
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I'm guessing there are sports starved gamblers somewhere betting on the daily totals.
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Forget that, the real tragedy here is that the Pittston Tomato Festival is cancelled. https://www.citizensvoice.com/news/coronavirus/pittston-tomato-festival-canceled-due-to-coronavirus-concerns/article_a2adb9dd-5257-54a2-95c3-5b2e96c9c42a.html
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Excellent point. We aren't looking at a random sample and that's an issue as well. Percentage of positives can show that either more people are coming down with this, or that fewer people without symptoms are getting tested if it's going up, or that the testing centers are seeing more healthy, but concerned people. Also an issue with the percentage of positives would be people that are tested multiple times. One person can show up as a data point a few times if they are tested over and over for whatever reason.
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Then I suppose none of the numbers we keep looking at daily really matter as much as we think.
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1.4% of People in Philadelphia have had Covid-19 according to the above map. 0.71% of people in Pennsylvania have had Covid-19 according to the above map. Statewide that means 99.29% of people have not had it!
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In more rural, less regulated counties I would imagine a decent number.
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Fireworks tents typically close up after the fourth so I would imagine the whole out of sight out of mind thing would apply for most people.
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The roof of of my car is covered in fireworks debris. I thought driving on 476 would help with that but I guess I'm going to the car wash soon.
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I'll likely be in Avalon next weekend.
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I agree with that. County by county numbers are fascinating to me.
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Nice work @Benm. Seems to make sense to me, and also fall in line with population densities. Next argument I'll throw out here now: When I have tables like this full of fun facts and figures I inevitably have to present it to a board or a few VPs or whatever and one of the things that I learned a while ago and really sticks with me is the question that should be in everyone's mind when they look at a table of numbers. So what? Nice, chart. So what? Trends are going slightly up in the whole state. So what? County by county we see some flatness and some increase. So what? This doesn't look good. So what? PA is much better than Florida. So what? We have all this data and we aren't asking the right questions. Only when we can agree on the questions will we find the answer that's sitting right in front of us.
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Poorly executed joke on my part. *Insert silly Borat mankini picture here*
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Says you have to wear a mask, just not where you have to wear it.
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I haven't been able to get the data to load in that link all morning. I guess a lot of people were listening to NPR this morning and are all trying to access it. I'll irrationally blame Microsoft Power BI for this failure. They should have used Tableau
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I was literally about to post this as I heard it on the radio this morning.
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I would be curious to see the county by county breakdown in cases in these hard hit states. My thoughts from the beginning, and why I think PA killed it in the reopening, is that population density plays a gigantic role in the spread of this thing. It's so easy for the news stories or snippets to say Florida, California, Arizona and just start blaming governors. These stages are gigantic and CA has some of the strictest rules in the nation. The country is not a monolith and neither are these states. County by county makes and putting the numbers in context is the only way to go.
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6 feet or not it's all recirculated air inside a bar/restaurant. Not sure why anyone would want to be inside one at this point.
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Devil's advocate for a second here. The concept behind the quarantine and shutdown was to flatten the curve. This seemed to be effective. No amount of mitigation will eliminate this disease. Wouldn't a regional, rather than sweeping federal approach therefore be more effective in keeping the curve flat since we know we cannot get it down to zero while maintaining not only economic but quality of life factors? That article cited the shutdown of 13 sites across the country, 4 of which were in the currently hard hit areas of Texas. I would argue that due to red tape and bureaucracy, the state and local governments are more nimble at locating need and providing necessary services. Perhaps federal funding should be a part of this but operationally I would think it would be easier to have cities and counties take care of themselves.
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I never had a day out of the office through this and we've had 3 confirmed cases in the building (all on the production floor) across this time. No one in the building caught it from the infected people here as they did extensive contact tracing and testing. Anecdotal I know, but it's something to think about.