Seriously, WTF is with this Weather?

[RootDKJ]

No model is showing 12-18" for anywhere outside of Nova Scotia. GFS is saying maybe 6" and GFS has been coming in too wet, EURO is 4-8". 3-6" is a reasonable bet with some light mixing on the tail end Sunday morning. This will likely show up Friday night, build moisture until Sat morning and then snow lightly all day and night, with about 1/10th of an inch or less of sleet before it moves out.

 

Anything over 5" requires a ratio of 15/1 or 20/1, it's too warm and 20/1 is like diamond dust, it doesn't snow diamond dust in the Mid Atlantic. If you got a 15/1 ratio and the phasing from the beach maybe then you would have enough moisture for 12" but that is highly unlikely. I would love to rip 18" of cream cheese at the Blue with ARG's but that is highly unlikely.

 

Tuesday's storm is classic clipper Miller B, they don't bring much moisture and don't hang out at the beach long enough to gain much, it will swoop by dropping some inches in a very confined location, wrap around and oragraphic lift will help but that ain't us. Green Spine will probably be the spot.

 

Pattern is pretty good though, cold artic air from the AO with pretty good NAO blocking, if moisture comes it's probably going to snow.

 

What's the ratio for titty-sparkles?

[toast21602]

 

What's the ratio for titty-sparkles?

 

that only happens in Utah, especially PowMow

[toast21602]

 

***EPAWA FIRST CALL MAP FOR SAT/SUN WINTER STORM***

A major winter storm will affect the area this weekend, and for some areas will have the potential to be the largest one-storm snowfall since the Halloween storm of 2011 for some... but this is not a run to the grocery store and raid the milk and bread isle storm. The above link will provide a bigger map than the one shown here, and also include synopsis, timing, and discusses the banding wildcard that can create a few surprises, and pleasant surprises if you are looking for more snow. Purple and red dashed circled areas have "see text" text to it, and the text is as follows:

PURPLE SHADED AREAS: 4-8"+ snow, best chance to remain all or mostly snow and the best chance to meet or exceed posted totals.

RED CIRCLED AREAS: Wildcard area we are watching for potential banding that can increase snowfall rates along the expected thermal gradient. This will be an 11th hour call and has the ability to increase snowfall rates and totals where this banding sets up.

Beyond what is posted here, you can visit the link at the very top of the post for any answers. Since this information is clearly provided, we will not be answering specific questions. The information is self-explanatory and easy to understand. Thank you.

[moe ghoul]

............

[AngryHugo]

We pourin' purple stuff, we pourin' purple stuff

[Ride Delaware ?]

Things have been good up in the MRV. Cold as shit with great snowmaking weather with bands of snow showers dropping 8-10" over the past 5 days. Looks like another 2-4" over the next 24 hours with 4-8" from the storm on Saturday. Shit is getting real good real quick.

[Shadows]

 

 

but this is not a run to the grocery store and raid the milk and bread isle storm.

 

ok.

[Johnny Law]

Gotta apologize to Doug, turns out he may be right. Mt Holly calling in 8". Mt. Holly is the most conservative of NWS stations so........

[vinnyv11]

Gotta apologize to Doug, turns out he may be right. Mt Holly calling in 8". Mt. Holly is the most conservative of NWS stations so........

 

I can't imagine how painful this was to type....

[Johnny Law]

 

I can't imagine how painful this was to type....

LOL........... nah, Doug is good people

[Ride Delaware ?]

[RidgeRacer]

Someone tell PA road dawg to come post some stoke here.

[Shadows]

"devastating"? on a ski board?

where was that from.

[moe ghoul]

Snowed, then sneet, now sneet with traces of rain down here. Maybe an inch total so far.

[toast21602]

6+ inches up here. I would guess more.

[Shadows]

good for PA. im proud. shaping up to be a good season for everyone.

[moe ghoul]

-22 in the Mansfield area this AM. That's advanced coldness right there.

[Schif]

This clipper storm was a joke, a dusting on the sidewalks up in the Wyoming Valley. Also, did anyone else see the big warm up coming this weekend? 60 and rain is bad news bears. I hope the weatherman is wrong.

[indiggio]

Wishing it would stay cold so Saturday's storm would be snow instead of rain...

[indiggio]

Ugh! and 60's Sunday...

 

Looks like some more seasonable temps for Christmas week though.

Edited December 17, 2013 by indiggio

[indiggio]

Gotta love spring conditions. Better than ice.

 

Gonna be slow and sticky.

[guitar73]

This clipper storm was a joke

 

clipper storms never give us a lot of snow anyhow....i wasn't expecting much out of it anyhow.

[indiggio]

im going to the eagles game sunday, was hoping for snow during it. that obviously isnt happening

 

Take some plastic garbage bags!

[toast21602]

~2" here at my house. still coming down.

[toast21602]

Still snowing moderately here and only 23 degrees. Amazing that by Monday most of the snow will be gone.

 

I hope the forecast is wrong by 20 degrees.