Timeless Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Look at this NWS forecast : this is for as close to Granite Chief at Squaw as it will allow me to select, but still only at 7000ft. Friday: A chance of snow showers before 10am, then snow showers likely and areas of blowing snow after 10am. Cloudy, with a temperature rising to near 37 by noon, then falling to around 28 during the remainder of the day. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 26 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Friday Night: Snow and areas of blowing snow. Low around 23. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 18 and 24 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Saturday: Snow and areas of blowing snow. High near 28. Southwest wind between 16 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Saturday Night: Snow showers and areas of blowing snow. Low around 13. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible. Sunday: Snow showers and areas of blowing snow. High near 23. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Sunday Night: Snow showers and areas of blowing snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Monday: Areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23. This could be a record breaking November storm. Quote
Dan- Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Gotta love those Tahoe storms that just slam the mountains. Quote
moe ghoul Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Wake me up when that's an EC forecast. 1 Quote
OutCold Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Does that really add up to 40-58 inches?? That sounds like a lot of snow Quote
Shadows Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Does that really add up to 40-58 inches?? That sounds like a lot of snow with storm predictions above 10 inches per day for 4 days it could easily be a 60+ storm. Quote
sibhusky Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Whoa. We've got snow predictions like crazy here, but nothing that high. Of course, the actual results of what we GET are usually below the predictions, so I'd halve their total. We were supposed to get 4 to 8 at the house (point forecast) on Tuesday, but I think it was more like two. Then the next day we were supposed to get the same, I think we got 4. The mountain at least is claiming a nice base, 30 inches at the summit, 15 inches on the back side base, 99% due to real snow, not snowmaking, because we don't have much snow making here. Considering they won't open for another three weeks and we're supposed to get (up there) 27 inches between now and the end of Saturday, we're looking pretty good. That's followed by single digit days, so it's not going to all melt off. Quote
sibhusky Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 makes me wish I was back in Montana.. It's a winter wonderland today. Glad I got my studs on the car last week. Quote
Shadows Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Glad I got my studs on the car last week. studs? 1 Quote
sibhusky Posted November 18, 2010 Report Posted November 18, 2010 Even aside from the tire issue, if those are "studs" then I'm Moses. studs? Quote
Timeless Posted November 22, 2010 Author Report Posted November 22, 2010 Kirkwood are claiming 102" from the strom so far and we still have one more major wave to come tonight and tomorrow, they are not even open until Thursday..... Quote
Timeless Posted November 22, 2010 Author Report Posted November 22, 2010 Timeless you riding somewhere this weekend? Northstar on Thursday and Squaw on Friday, snow is supposed to stop on Wednesday, blue skies and 30 degrees for a couple of days and then another storm at the weekend. Maybe my only riding in the US until christmas, going to europe (work) for 2 weeks in december so am going to the austrian Alps for the weekend i'm stuck over there. Quote
Dan- Posted November 22, 2010 Report Posted November 22, 2010 Reports of 5ft at some places so far. Insane. Quote
Timeless Posted November 22, 2010 Author Report Posted November 22, 2010 Reports of 5ft at some places so far. Insane. Kirkwood claiming north of 8ft, still snowing. Most of the tahoe resorts are claiming >70" and expecting another "1-2 feet" tonight / tomorrow. Sad thing is that not many are open. Quote
Shadows Posted November 23, 2010 Report Posted November 23, 2010 good thing nothings open really. avy deaths would skyrocket. Quote
Dan- Posted November 23, 2010 Report Posted November 23, 2010 A patroller at Wolf Creek, CO was killed yesterday. Quote
Timeless Posted November 23, 2010 Author Report Posted November 23, 2010 good thing nothings open really. avy deaths would skyrocket. Good point. 8ft of dry loose snow on top of a thin crust that was down before this, not a good recipe for stable snowpack. Quote
Glenn Posted November 23, 2010 Report Posted November 23, 2010 Good point. 8ft of dry loose snow on top of a thin crust that was down before this, not a good recipe for stable snowpack. At least it's right side up. Quote
Johnny Law Posted November 23, 2010 Report Posted November 23, 2010 Good point. 8ft of dry loose snow on top of a thin crust that was down before this, not a good recipe for stable snowpack. At least it's right side up. Its probably actually fine for the most part, that's alot of snow but its very dry snow for the Tahoe area and the lack of a base actually helps you in a storm like this. The snow from this has and will continue to consolidate at a pretty decent pace but with the relatively steady temps you won't see facet growth. The pace of the snowfall means the pack won't be able to support the load up so quickly on steep shit and the high intensity winds would create some crazy wind slab above tree line. What you don't want is that shit to sit around for along time with no new action, then it would be like a Colorado snowpack. lulz Most stuff in the trees at a reasonable angel (30ish or less) on a non-north/east aspect would be fine. BTW Squaw SNOTEL is showing 39 on the ground with consolidation, at that elevation they will probably pick up 18-24 today and tonight and end up with a total snowpack of around 4/4.5 feet which is alot less than 8ft. South of the lake is reporting less with the Heavenly station showing 32" on the ground. Quote
Johnny Law Posted November 23, 2010 Report Posted November 23, 2010 Glenn u get a pass at Bridger Bowl? They open Friday. Gallatin and the surrounding area are in worse shape, the base layers has a nice bond but there is a shit layer from snow that sat, this layer is now three to four feet and has let some big slides rip at Big Sky on Northern aspects. Add in a serious sustained wind and that's a more complicated situation. Quote
Dan- Posted November 23, 2010 Report Posted November 23, 2010 I have a hard time believing Kirkwoods site. 41-46 in 24hrs. That is fucking nuking. Quote
Timeless Posted November 23, 2010 Author Report Posted November 23, 2010 I have a hard time believing Kirkwoods site. 41-46 in 24hrs. That is fucking nuking. I think they use Camelback-inches. Quote
Dan- Posted November 24, 2010 Report Posted November 24, 2010 I think they use Camelback-inches. I think they are just picking the largest drift possible. They were saying 86 inches in 48 hours... Quote
Mixilplix Posted November 24, 2010 Report Posted November 24, 2010 I cannot freakin wait to get out to Big Sky/Moonlight Basin! Quote
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