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Posted

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

305 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

 

...A WINTER STORM MAY AFFECT THE REGION FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

 

.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES

AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTLINE. THE LOW

IS EXPECTED TO BE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON

BEFORE CONTINUING TO MOVE QUICKLY OFF TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST.

 

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-041000-

/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0005.110205T0900Z-110206T0300Z/

SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG

305 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH

SATURDAY EVENING...

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER

STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH

SATURDAY EVENING.

 

* PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW POSSIBLY MIXED WITH A LITTLE SLEET AT TIMES.

 

* ACCUMULATIONS: 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

 

* TIMING: SNOW WILL START TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE STARTING TO TAPER OFF

SATURDAY EVENING.

 

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT AS ROADS BECOME SNOW

COVERED.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT

SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

 

StormTotalSnowFcst.png

Posted

Storms have generally over performed when compared to the models so there is a possibility of more.

 

Tues/Weds = possibility of a little dust up, models all over the place

 

Feb 10/11 = possible bomb, keep an eye on this one

Posted

The weather blogs over here on the west coast are talking about a major pattern change that will flip you guys back into a warm pattern and bring the snow back to us for the latter part of February, BUT, they are also counting down the east coast storms (3 more before the shift) and saying that the last one could be the "storm of the century", not sure if that just means the biggest since the year 2000 or if it's a hundred year event, but either way it seems there are a lot of people concurring that this will be one huge storm hitting you guys at or shortly after the 10th.

Posted

The weather blogs over here on the west coast are talking about a major pattern change that will flip you guys back into a warm pattern and bring the snow back to us for the latter part of February,

 

lulz

 

We are in a strange new world last year and this....... Both years the longer the cold has stuck around more people start screaming about how we are going to warm up. I'm not saying that we won't but its just funny to me...eventually they just yell about warming until April and then say they were right. lulz

 

The models were off last year but not wrong, this year they are all over the place and just plain wrong sometimes. GFS/NAM/EURO says blizzard for 10/11 for the last 5/6 days, then all the sudden today the GFS says no storm, all energy phases into the ocean. Could that happen sure but what's more likely is our models suck because the way energy is interacting in our system is just fucking bonkers right now.

 

This isn't a global climate change discussion but our weather models for the most part have sucked donkey dick this winter and weren't great last year. Weather is a complicated business but I like this idea about global climate change and increased heat and energy in the NE, it would certainly explain the general weirdness latley.

 

What's kinda weird is the lack of $$$ for weather models

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